Rotem Hall, Zlotowski Student Administration Building, December 18-19, 2017

Day I: Monday, December 18th​
10:30-12:30A tour at Abraham's Well + light lunch.
12:30-13:00Gathering.
13:00-14:30Session A: History of Expectation Models.
Chair: Arie Arnon, Ben-Gurion University.​
Mauro Boianovsky Universidade de Brasilia Discussant: Warren Young Between Pigou and Keynes: Champernowne on employment and expectations
Cristina Marcuzzo Sapienza University of RomeDiscussant: Robert DimandThe Cambridge approach to expectations: The legacy of Marshall, Keynes and Kahn.
Amos Witztum London School of EconomicsDiscussant: Dror GoldbergExpectations in classical school: some lessons for today.
14:30-14:45Coffee break.
14:45-16:15Session B: Growth, Expectations and political economy.
Chair: Robert Dimand, Brock University ​
Muriel Dal-Pont Legrand Université Nice Sophia AntipolisDiscussant: Arie ArnonExpectations and stability in the early growth models: a short history of growth economics.
Warren Young Bar-Ilan UniversityDiscussant: Michael BordoExpectations and Planning at the FED: 1939-1941.
Alex Cukierman Interdisciplinary CenterDiscussant: Assaf RazinInternational evidence on professional interest rate forecasts: The impact of forecasting ability (joint with Thomas Lustenberger).
16:15-16:30Coffee break.
16:30-18:15At Senate Hall - Guggenheim Award and Lecture: Expectations: Theory and Applications in Historical Perspectives Duncan Foley, New School for Social Research.
Chair: Jimmy Weinblatt, Former Rector of Ben-Gurion University.​
19:00Dinner at Dinner at Arabica




 

Day II: Tuesday, December 19th​
9:00-10:30Session C: Methods and Models: Controversies in historical perspective.
Chair: Esther-Mirjam Sent, Radboud University.​
Harald Hagemann University of HohenheimDiscussant: James ForderInflation Expectations and the Phillips Curve: Then and Now.
Robert Dimand Brock UniversityDiscussant: Mauro BoianovsyExpectations in Tobin's Macroeconomics: The Fisherian and Keynesian Roots of Tobin's q and Corridor of Stability
Sylvie Rivot University of StrasbourgDiscussant: Muriel Dal Pont LegrandExpectations Mismatches and the Great Depression.
10:30-10:45Coffee break
10:45-12:15Session D: Expectations in Theory and Reality.
Chair: Elise Brezis, Bar-Ilan University​
Esther-Mirjam Sent Radboud UniversityDiscussant: Sylvie RivotSargent and Expectations
James Forder University of OxfordDiscussant: Harald HagemannExpectations' in the debate over rules and discretion, 1948-1998.
Assaf Razin Cornell University, Tel Aviv UniversityDiscussant: Alex CukiermanExpectations in Israel: triumphing hyperinflation and heading off depression.
12:15-13:30Lunch
13:30-15:00Session E: Expectations in Economic History.
Chair: Michael Bordo Rutgers University​
Kim Oosterlinck Université Libre de BruxellesDiscussant: Nathan SussmanThe War That Bond Markets Didn't Perceive as Such (The Prices of South African Bonds During the Second Anglo-Boer War: An Extreme Case of Resilience) (with Marie van Gansbeke)
Dror Goldberg The Open University of IsraelDiscussant: Amos WitztumThis time is NOT different: Expectations and Monetary Innovation in 1691 Massachusetts.
Olivier Accominotti London School of EconomicsDiscussant: Nadav Ben-Zeev(Ben-Gurion University)The Dawes Bonds, Selective Default and International Trade.
15:00-15:15Coffee break.
15:15-17:00Panel Session: Expectations and economic history: explanations or fantasy?
Chair:Kim Oosterlinck ​
Participants:Michael Bordo Rutgers University
​Alex Cukierman Interdisciplinary Center.
​Nathan Sussman Hebrew University.
END OF CONFERENCE​
  • Organizing Committee:
  • Arie Arnon, arnona@exchange.bgu.ac.il
  • Karine van der Beek, kvdbeek@bgu.ac.il
  • Warren Young, youngwprof@yahoo.com
  • Jimmy Weinblatt, weinb@bgu.ac.il
  • Administrative manager:
  • Michal Bauch, minimousegi@gmail.com